To wrap up the events in 4th grade achievement, we turn our sights to science and figure skating. No doubt, there is a lot of force and motion involved in figure skating, but with the competition having judges and controversial scores on occasion, it suggests there is high degree of subjectivity in the event as well–at least more so than many of the other events. That is also true of this competition since the results are a little harder to formulate. But we’ll try and do the best we can.
In the 2011 TIMSS, the USA ranked 7th, as shown on the left. On the center list, we see that Florida and North Carolina also participated as independent states, but in this event, the scores for both states are on par with the USA score. There were no NAEP test results for 4th grade science for that year, however, looking at trends from NAEP tests from about that same time shows with fair consistency that Montana ranked very–typically about #2 among all fifty states with a score 5% higher than Florida–with Florida still ranking in the middle of the pack in those same NAEP trends. Thus, Montana scoring 5% higher than Florida is significant, and would figure to project Montana to about #3 in the world, as shown on the right. This is supported by the fact that 8th grade NAEP science scores are also consistently excellent for Montana. That’s a little more of a roundabout and subjective way to arrive at a conclusion for this event, but hey, it’s like figure skating.
On the podium for 4th grade science we see that South Korea take the gold, Singapore wins silver, and we’ll award Montana-USA with the bronze.
Adding in the MontCAS test results and the green bar for Swan River, we find that our school scored 4% higher than Montana as a whole. Where Montana was already an impressive 7% higher than the USA score and just 1% shy of the world leader, South Korea, Swan River’s 4% higher score over Montana should be significant enough to leapfrog past South Korea for gold.
With the worldwide education Olympiad now half over, the competition is wide open with Singapore, Hong Kong, South Korea, and Montana-USA all leading with two medals each. If you’d rather replace the USA delegation of Montana with Swan River School in this competition, then you could make a claim, based on the extrapolated data, that we have won two gold medals in three events.
We now move on to the 8th grade events and will begin with reading, which is somewhat like the bobsled competition in the Olympics.